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REPORT:
Volcanoes: Their Occurrence and Geography


-- Tom Simkin, 1994,
Volcanoes: Their Occurrence and Geography: IN: Casadevall, Thomas J., (ed.), 1994, Volcanic Ash and Aviation Safety: Proceedings of the First International Symposium on Volcanic Ash and Aviation Safety: U.S. Geological Survey Bulletin 2047, 450p., p.75-79.

Abstract

The explosive volcanoes that threaten air safety tend to be arranged in long, linear belts near boundaries where crustal plates are converging. These belts cover less than 0.6 percent of the Earth's surface. At least 1,300 volcanoes have erupted in the last 10,000 years and, because the lifetimes of most volcanoes are very long, they are likely to erupt again in the future. Among these 1,300 volcanoes, however, only about 60 are active in a typical year, and that activity may range from a mild pyrotechnics of Italy's Stromboli to prehistoric catastrophes that dwarf recent eruptions such as Mount St. Helens, 1980; Krakatau, 1883; or Pinatubo, 1991. Like earthquakes, the bigger eruptions happen less often than the smaller, with St.Helens-sized events occurring perhaps once per decade and events such as Ruiz, 1985 and Redoubt, 1989, several times a year. During the years 1975-85, more than 63 eruptions penetrated the altitude range of air traffic and at least nine passed into the stratosphere where volcanic products are easily dispersed around the world.

Eruption durations are often not recorded historically, but they are known to range from minutes to thousands of years. The median duration is 7 weeks, and few eruptions last longer than 3 years. Pulses of activity mark all but the shortest eruptions, and the paroxysmal event may come at any time from the first day (as occurs in 45 percent of all eruptions) to months or even years after the start of eruption. Of particular importance for volcano hazards is the fact that unusually violent eruptions commonly occur after unusually long periods of repose. The historic record in many parts of the world is far shorter than the hundreds or thousands of quiet years that precede violent eruptions, meaning that some of our most dangerous volcanoes may be those not currently recognized as "active." Of the 16 largest explosive eruptions in the 19th and 20th centuries, all but four were the first historic eruption known from the volcano. These factors emphasize the importance of communicating reports of new eruptions. We at the Smithsonian hope for more news from "eyes in the sky" and will do our best to disseminate volcano reports as we have been doing for nearly a quarter century.


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06/20/02, Lyn Topinka