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USGS/Cascades Volcano Observatory, Vancouver, Washington

REPORT:
Preparing for The Next Eruption in the Cascades


-- Cascades Volcano Observatory, 1994,
Preparing for the Next Eruption in the Cascades: U.S. Geological Survey Open File Report 94-585

Active volcanoes dominate the skyline in many parts of the Pacific Northwest. These familiar snow-clad peaks are part of a 1,000 mile-long chain of volcanoes, the Cascade Range, which extends from northern California to southern British Columbia. Many of these volcanoes have erupted in the recent past and will erupt again in the foreseeable future. The time between eruptions is usually measured in decades or centuries, so eruptions are not a part of our everyday experience. However, in 1980 Mount St. Helens vividly demonstrated the power that Cascade volcanoes can unleash when they do erupt.

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) is responsible for assessing volcano hazards, monitoring the activity of U.S. volcanoes, and issuing warnings of impending eruptions. To help prevent loss of life and property from the next eruption in the Cascades, scientists at the USGS Cascades Volcano Observatory (CVO) in Vancouver, Washington, are working to determine the type and extent of hazards posed by the Cascade volcanoes.


Cascade Volcanoes

Eruptions in the Cascades have occurred at an average rate of 1-2 per century during the last 4000 years, and future eruptions are certain. Seven volcanoes in the Cascades have erupted since the first U.S. Independence Day a little more than 200 years ago. Four of those eruptions would have caused considerable property damage and loss of life if they had occurred today without warning. As population increases in the Pacific Northwest, areas near the volcanoes are being developed and recreational usage is expanding. As a result, more and more people and property are at risk from volcanic activity. The next eruption in the Cascades could affect hundreds of thousands of people.

VOLCANOES AND WATER: A Dangerous Combination

Large parts of most Cascade volcanoes are covered with permanent snow and ice that pose a special hazard during periods of volcanic unrest. Even small eruptions can melt a large amount of snow and ice, triggering debris flows that can travel tens of miles beyond the flanks of the volcano into populated valleys. Years after volcanic unrest has stopped, erosion of deposits can cause increased sediment that clogs waterways, disrupts aquatic ecosystems, and worsens flooding. Debris flows are the most costly effects of eruptions at snow-clad volcanoes.


USGS CASCADES VOLCANO OBSERVATORY
-- Preparing for the Next Eruption




EVALUATING Volcano Hazards:

To identify the areas that are likely to be affected by future eruptions, rock deposits from pre-historic eruptions are mapped, studied, and dated to learn about the types and frequency of past eruptions at each volcano. This information helps scientists to better anticipate future activity at a volcano, and provides a basis for mitigating the effects of future eruptions through land-use and emergency planning.



MONITORING Restless Volcanoes:

Volcanoes often show signs that they are getting ready to erupt days to months in advance. Seismic activity, ground movements, and gas emissions at Cascade volcanoes are monitored by CVO in order to detect subtle changes that may herald the next eruption. Seismic activity is continuously monitored under the auspices of the USGS Volcano Hazards and Geothermal Studies Program through CVO, the USGS in Menlo Park, California, and the University of Washington Geophysics Program in Seattle, Washington.



COMMUNICATING Hazards Information

CVO provides information about volcanoes and volcano hazards to public officials, land-use planners, emergency response organizations, the Federal Aviation Administration and other federal agencies, the news media, schools, and the general public. When volcanic activity increases, CVO issues advisories, warnings, and whenever possible, specific predictions concerning eruptions and their potential impacts.


DEVELOPING New Tools, Testing New Ideas:

USGS scientists study Mount St. Helens and other volcanoes around the world to develop new ideas about how volcanoes work and to improve eruption-prediction methods. Related research topics include dynamics of debris flows, effects of volcanic gases on weather and climate, and effects of increased sediment transport on streams. New instrumentation, software, and hardware developed by the USGS enable scientists to acquire, process, and interpret data more quickly and effectively than ever before.



READY to Respond:

At CVO, a multi-disciplinary team of scientists and a cache of portable volcano-monitoring equipment function as a mobile volcano observatory ready to respond to volcanic unrest anywhere in the U. S. and, in cooperation with the U. S. Agency for International Development's Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance, anywhere in the world. Since 1980 this team has responded to volcanic unrest in Alaska, California, Washington, Colombia, Ecuador, Guatemala, Indonesia, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, and the Philippines.


The USGS Cascades Volcano Observatory strives to serve the national interest by helping people to live knowledgeably and safely with volcanoes and related natural hazards including earthquakes, landslides, and debris flows in the western United States and elsewhere in the world. CVO assesses hazards before they occur by identifying and studying past hazardous events. We provide warnings during volcanic crises by intensively monitoring restless volcanoes and interpreting results in the context of current hazards assessments. We investigate and report on hazardous events after they occur to improve our assessment and prediction skills, and to help develop new concepts of how volcanoes work.


Our goal is to keep natural processes from becoming natural disasters.

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05/31/00, Lyn Topinka